So, if that’s right, let’s take the “what we think about actors at a personal level” factor from the equation and simply focus on their actions and their outcome. Let me also be very careful to say that I am suspicious about Trump, but was also very suspicious about Biden and Kamala and Obama and about all leaders.
For one to be a leader at this level, I imagine a lot of actions that have had to take place and I don’t imagine anyone I fully respect, taking part in the kind of actions I imagine.
So, what I think is that Trump is acting differently because acting the same way will lead to the same outcome, therefore he is shifting or even shuffling conceptions of what external policies should be, in a very pragmatic way, by using or bluffing on using real power.
He is mostly concerned about China taking over the world and moving USA from being the global Empire.
He thinks Russia and Europe have to discuss between themselves to solve the beef they have with each other, and he feels that beef is secondary to the worries he has with China.
He feels Ukranian war have sucked too much energy out of the USA and also transferred a lot of energy to China and he wants that to stop. He is taking bold moves to do that and challenging anyone that tries to affect those moves.
He is thinking about resources all over the world and taking hold of what he still can, because China as slowly taking hold of everything else, just look at Africa and Asia, including Russia and the concentration of resources China has been doing there.
He feels the middle east is taken care of as long as Israel stands strong and the UAE keep spending money and selling oil to everyone.
He isn’t too concerned about South America, yet but sees potential and resources in it. Milei’s Argentina is key there and he wants to support it, so it may create a movement of capitalist economy that in the end will help the USA.
He has made his direct neighbours fall in line already.
So, after settling all matters in Europe and Middle East, he’ll be able to focus in Asia.
It could be an over simplistic analysis, but it makes sense to me, it’s pretty clear in my head and doesn’t require any conspiracy theory.